Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000923 0.000971 0.001020 0.001075 0.001134 0.001195 0.001264
2025-11-16 0.000841 0.000912 0.000988 0.001076 0.001175 0.001284 0.001413
2025-11-23 0.000798 0.000886 0.000983 0.001100 0.001236 0.001391 0.001584
2025-11-30 0.000755 0.000853 0.000965 0.001103 0.001269 0.001464 0.001716
2025-12-07 0.000708 0.000812 0.000932 0.001084 0.001271 0.001498 0.001800
2025-12-14 0.000670 0.000778 0.000905 0.001068 0.001274 0.001530 0.001880
2025-12-21 0.000636 0.000746 0.000878 0.001050 0.001272 0.001554 0.001950
2025-12-28 0.000588 0.000696 0.000825 0.000996 0.001220 0.001510 0.001923
2026-01-04 0.000560 0.000667 0.000798 0.000974 0.001207 0.001514 0.001961
2026-01-11 0.000540 0.000649 0.000783 0.000965 0.001212 0.001541 0.002034
2026-01-18 0.000523 0.000633 0.000771 0.000960 0.001219 0.001572 0.002111
2026-01-25 0.000523 0.000639 0.000785 0.000990 0.001277 0.001676 0.002303
2026-02-01 0.000503 0.000619 0.000768 0.000978 0.001277 0.001701 0.002381
2026-02-08 0.000484 0.000600 0.000751 0.000966 0.001275 0.001724 0.002461
2026-02-15 0.000478 0.000597 0.000754 0.000982 0.001317 0.001813 0.002652
2026-02-22 0.000466 0.000587 0.000748 0.000984 0.001336 0.001869 0.002794
2026-03-01 0.000449 0.000569 0.000729 0.000967 0.001327 0.001880 0.002860
2026-03-08 0.000434 0.000553 0.000713 0.000954 0.001321 0.001894 0.002933
2026-03-15 0.000420 0.000537 0.000697 0.000939 0.001313 0.001904 0.002997
2026-03-22 0.000396 0.000508 0.000660 0.000892 0.001253 0.001827 0.002897
2026-03-29 0.000382 0.000492 0.000642 0.000873 0.001235 0.001817 0.002921
2026-04-05 0.000372 0.000482 0.000633 0.000866 0.001236 0.001840 0.003008
2026-04-12 0.000364 0.000473 0.000625 0.000861 0.001240 0.001868 0.003107